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KMKaran Mehta5.3K XP11d ago
Inflation is the rate at which prices rise, which means each unit of money buys less over time. Your savings don't shrink numerically — their *purchasing power* shrinks, which is the loss you can't see in your account balance. **The arithmetic**: if inflation is 6% and your savings account pays 3%, your real return is roughly −3%. You have more money and can buy less with it. At 6% inflation, prices roughly double in twelve years — so ₹1 lakh kept in cash for twelve years buys what ₹50,000 buys today. **Why this matters most for long-term money**: over one year, the effect is barely noticeable. Over twenty or thirty years — the horizon for retirement savings — it's the dominant force. This is the core reason 'keeping it safe in the bank' is not actually safe for long-term goals: it's a slow, certain loss rather than an occasional, visible one. **What tends to keep pace with or beat inflation:** - **Equities** have historically delivered real returns above inflation over long periods — with substantial volatility along the way. - **Property**, broadly, though with high costs and local variation. - **Inflation-linked bonds**, where available, which adjust their payout with the index. **What loses to inflation reliably**: cash under a mattress, current accounts, and low-interest savings accounts. Long-dated fixed-rate bonds also suffer when inflation rises unexpectedly. **The practical implication for how you hold money:** - **Short-term money** (emergency fund, anything needed within two or three years) should stay in cash or near-cash despite inflation. Losing a few percent of purchasing power is a fair price for certainty when you might need it next month. - **Long-term money** should be invested, because over decades inflation is the larger risk than volatility. **Two things that catch people out:** 1. **Your personal inflation rate differs from the headline number.** The published index is an average basket. If your spending is concentrated in categories rising faster than average — rent, education, healthcare — you're experiencing higher inflation than the reported figure. 2. **Salary increases that match inflation are not raises.** A 5% increase during 6% inflation is a real-terms pay cut. Worth keeping in mind during negotiations, where the relevant comparison is the inflation rate, not zero.
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