The data side is settled: switchers out-earn stayers, often dramatically — external moves routinely bring 20–30% while internal raises average single digits. Loyalty is billed as a virtue and paid as a discount.
But the red-flag risk is real past a threshold. One or two short stints read as normal; a pattern of five consecutive sub-18-month exits makes hiring managers do math: 'they'll leave before the ramp-up pays off.' Some will quietly pass.
The distinctions that matter:
- Hops WITH a story (each move = clear level/scope jump) read as ambition. Lateral shuffles at the same level read as restlessness.
- Stay long enough to have SHIPPED something you can own in interviews. Leaving mid-project twice in a row means your resume is all beginnings.
- Early career hopping is forgiven easily; at senior levels companies expect 2–3+ year commitments because your impact takes that long to land.
Practical rule: hop when learning or comp has flatlined AND you can name what the next place levels up — not on a schedule.